Back to Articles|Published on October 28, 2026|Updated October 29, 2026|16 min read

Docket Article

HSR Act and Private Equity Roll-Ups: Antitrust Basics

2026 HSR thresholds and fees, the status of the vacated 2025 HSR form, Guideline 8 on serial acquisitions, and what roll-up teams should record.

By Docket Research

HSR Act and Private Equity Roll-Ups: Antitrust Basics

Summary

  1. 01HSR filing requirements and substantive antitrust risk are independent questions. A deal that is too small to report can still be investigated or challenged.
  2. 02The 2026 HSR size-of-transaction lower bound is $133.9 million. Above $535.5 million, the size-of-person test does not apply; exemptions can still apply.
  3. 03The FTC accepts the form and instructions in place before February 10, 2025, while allowing voluntary use of the February 2025 form. Filing preparation does not determine whether a small add-on can be challenged.
  4. 04Guideline 8 allows the agencies to examine a series of acquisitions and the firm's strategic plans. Origination records should describe market position factually and keep unsupported estimates visibly open.
  5. 05The Welsh Carson consent order is resolved, while the USAP case remained pending as of October 28, 2026. The article reports no court finding on the roll-up allegations.
Inside this article
  1. 01Two separate questions: must we file, and could the deal still be challenged?
  2. 022026 HSR thresholds at a glance
  3. 03The HSR form: where things stand
  4. 04Why small add-ons are not invisible
  5. 05What the agencies have said and done on PE roll-ups
  6. 06Is the 2023 Merger Guidelines framework still in force?
  7. 07What origination teams should record about market position
  8. 08Questions to take to antitrust counsel
  9. 09Sources

Two separate questions: must we file, and could the deal still be challenged?

A buy-and-build program raises two antitrust questions that are often merged into one. The first is procedural: does a given acquisition have to be reported to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Department of Justice (DOJ) before closing under the Hart-Scott-Rodino (HSR) Act? The second is substantive: could the acquisition, alone or together with the platform's earlier deals, be investigated or challenged as a violation of Section 7 of the Clayton Act?

The answers are independent. HSR is a pre-closing notice and waiting-period regime. Section 7A of the Clayton Act says that, except as exempted, no person shall acquire voting securities or assets above the statutory thresholds unless both parties file notification and the waiting period has expired; the standard waiting period ends on the thirtieth day after the agencies receive the completed filings [1]. The same section also says that agency action or inaction under it "shall not bar any proceeding or any action with respect to such acquisition at any time" under other antitrust provisions [1]. A deal that is too small to report is still subject to the substantive law.

For a roll-up, that distinction matters more than usual. Individual add-on acquisitions are often far below the reporting thresholds, while the program as a whole may change a local market's structure.

This is general information, not legal advice; filing and exemption questions belong to antitrust counsel.

$133.9 million2026 size-of-transaction lower bound; at or below this figure, the test is not met
$535.5 millionAbove this transaction size, the size-of-person test does not apply; exemptions can still apply
$26.8 million2026 adjusted size-of-person figure for the smaller party
$267.8 million2026 adjusted size-of-person figure for the larger party
Figure 01
Two independent antitrust questions
Must we file?HSR reporting
  • HSR requires pre-closing notice and a waiting period.
  • The filing analysis depends on thresholds and applicable exemptions.
  • Counsel should assess whether earlier holdings or related purchases from the same seller are aggregated.
Could the deal be challenged?Substantive antitrust risk
  • A deal below the reporting thresholds remains subject to substantive antitrust law.
  • The agencies may examine the overall pattern or strategy of serial acquisitions.
  • Investment memos, thesis notes and target lists can describe the strategy the agencies examine.

2026 HSR thresholds at a glance

The FTC revises the HSR thresholds every year based on the change in gross national product [2]. The current figures took effect on February 17, 2026 [3].

Test (Section 7A subsection)Statutory figure2026 adjusted figure
Size of transaction, reportable without a size-of-person test, 7A(a)(2)(A)$200 million$535.5 million
Size of transaction, lower bound, 7A(a)(2)(B)(i)$50 million$133.9 million
Size of person, smaller party, 7A(a)(2)(B)(ii)$10 million$26.8 million
Size of person, larger party, 7A(a)(2)(B)(ii)$100 million$267.8 million

Sources: Federal Register notice and FTC thresholds page, both read October 28, 2026.

How the tiers fit together, in outline:

  • Above $535.5 million in voting securities or assets held as a result of the acquisition, the transaction meets the size-of-transaction test without regard to the size of the parties (exemptions can still apply).
  • Above $133.9 million and up to $535.5 million, the transaction is reportable only if the size-of-person test is also met. In the statute, that test looks at annual net sales or total assets of the acquiring and acquired persons, with variants for manufacturing targets, non-manufacturing targets, and the case where the target is the larger party [1]. In 2026 dollars, the two size-of-person figures are $26.8 million and $267.8 million.
  • At or below $133.9 million, the size-of-transaction test is not met.

The "held as a result of the acquisition" wording is where many program-level questions sit. The HSR rules contain an aggregation provision, 16 CFR § 801.13, "Aggregation of voting securities, assets and non-corporate interests", that governs what is counted alongside the interest being acquired. Whether earlier holdings or related purchases from the same seller are aggregated is a question to hand to counsel, not one to settle from a summary.

Filing fees

The same January 2026 notice adjusted the filing fee schedule [2]. The FTC's fee page lists the following tiers, displayed under the date February 17, 2026 [4]:

2026 adjusted size of transaction2026 filing fee
Less than $189.6 million$35,000
$189.6 million to less than $586.9 million$110,000
$586.9 million to less than $1.174 billion$275,000
$1.174 billion to less than $2.347 billion$440,000
$2.347 billion to less than $5.869 billion$875,000
$5.869 billion or more$2,460,000

Both tables change annually (the 2026 notice was published in January), so check the FTC thresholds page on the day a filing analysis is done.

The HSR form: where things stand

The content of an HSR filing changed in 2025 and then changed back. As of October 28, 2026, the FTC's forms page (marked "Updated: 03/23/26") states:

  • On February 12, 2026, a federal district court vacated the new HSR form that took effect on February 10, 2025.
  • On March 19, 2026, the U.S. Court of Appeals denied the Commission's motion for a stay pending appeal.
  • The Commission is accepting HSR filings using the form and instructions in place before February 10, 2025, and will continue to accept filings on the February 2025 form if filers voluntarily choose to use it.

[5]

On March 25, 2026, the FTC and DOJ requested public comment on the effectiveness of the updated form, with comments due no later than May 26, 2026. The FTC's release says it "is considering engaging in a new rulemaking process" regardless of the outcome of the litigation [6].

The district court decision is a memorandum opinion and order signed February 12, 2026 in Chamber of Commerce v. FTC, No. 6:25-cv-00009 (E.D. Tex.); the appeal is No. 26-40094 in the Fifth Circuit [7].

Evidence status as of October 28, 2026:

ItemStatus
Pre-2025 form acceptedVerified on FTC forms page
Comment period closed May 26, 2026Verified deadline on FTC release
A new proposed form or ruleNone published: no FTC premerger rule or proposed rule in the Federal Register in 2026 through October 28
Further steps in the appealOn May 18, 2026 the FTC filed an unopposed motion to stay the appeal, citing an "ongoing agency process to consider revisions to the rule" (5th Cir. No. 26-40094)

For an origination team the practical effect is limited: the form changes filing preparation and closing timelines on larger platform deals, not whether a small add-on can be challenged.

Figure 02
HSR form changes and current filing options
  1. Feb 2026New form vacated

    On February 12, 2026, a federal district court vacated the form that had taken effect on February 10, 2025.

  2. Mar 2026Stay pending appeal denied

    On March 19, 2026, the U.S. Court of Appeals denied the Commission's motion for a stay pending appeal.

  3. Mar 2026Public comment requested

    The FTC and DOJ requested public comment on March 25, 2026, with comments due no later than May 26, 2026.

  4. Oct 2026Earlier form accepted

    As of October 28, 2026, the FTC accepts the earlier form and instructions, and filers can voluntarily use the February 2025 form.

The guidelines are an agency statement, not a statute, but they tell a sponsor what the agencies will ask for: the plan, not only the deal.

Why small add-ons are not invisible

The 2023 Merger Guidelines, issued jointly by the FTC and DOJ, contain a guideline aimed squarely at serial acquirers. Guideline 8 is titled "When a Merger Is Part of a Series of Multiple Acquisitions, the Agencies May Examine the Whole Series." Its first sentence reads: "A firm that engages in an anticompetitive pattern or strategy of multiple acquisitions in the same or related business lines may violate Section 7." [8]

The guideline then describes how the agencies would look at such a pattern:

  • They may evaluate the series "as part of an industry trend" or evaluate "the overall pattern or strategy of serial acquisitions by the acquiring firm collectively."
  • They may examine "both the firm's history and current or future strategic incentives," including acquisitions "consummated or not," in the market at issue and in other markets.
  • Evidence of current incentives includes "documents and testimony reflecting its plans and strategic incentives," both for the individual deal and for the firm's position in the industry.

[8]

The guidelines are an agency statement, not a statute, but they tell a sponsor what the agencies will ask for: the plan, not only the deal.

That last point has a practical consequence for origination files. Investment memos, thesis notes and target lists describe a strategy. A note that says a platform aims to "own the metro" or "take out the remaining independents" is the kind of planning document the guideline says the agencies may weigh. Plain, factual descriptions of market position are better practice than aspirational language about dominance.

Illustrative example (fictional). Northgate Partners builds a commercial landscaping platform, Greenline Services, in a single metro area. Over three years it buys eight local companies, each for between $5 million and $15 million. No single deal comes close to the $133.9 million size-of-transaction figure, so (subject to counsel's view on aggregation and exemptions) none is reportable under HSR. Before the program, the metro had about 30 commercial landscaping firms of meaningful size. After it, Greenline is the largest provider, and its two nearest rivals are much smaller. Nothing in this example is a finding that the program is unlawful. The point is that the reporting analysis says nothing about the substantive question, and the deal team's own files are where the agencies would look first if the question were asked.

What the agencies have said and done on PE roll-ups

The most prominent recent example involves U.S. Anesthesia Partners (USAP) and the private equity firm Welsh Carson. It should be read with care: much of it is allegation, not finding.

The complaint (allegations). On September 21, 2023, the FTC sued USAP and Welsh Carson in federal court in Texas. The FTC's release alleges they were "systematically buying up nearly every large anesthesia practice in Texas," that USAP acquired "more than a dozen anesthesiology practices in Texas," and that the firms entered into pricing arrangements and a market-allocation agreement. The release notes that the Commission files a complaint when it has "reason to believe" the law has been violated and that "the case will be decided by the court" [9]. USAP denied the allegations [10].

The Welsh Carson order (resolved). On May 20, 2025, the FTC announced a final consent order with Welsh Carson, approved 3-0. It requires Welsh Carson to limit its involvement with USAP and to notify the FTC of specified future acquisitions and investments in anesthesia and other hospital-based physician practices [11]. A notice obligation of this kind reaches deals regardless of whether they meet the HSR thresholds, which is why it matters for a sponsor's future pipeline.

The case against USAP (pending). On April 23, 2026, the FTC announced "an agreement in principle" with USAP to settle the litigation and said "the substance of the agreement is confidential at present" [12]. The parties' joint motion says they "have entered into a binding term sheet that will take 180 days to implement," asks the court to stay proceedings for 180 days, and states that if USAP cannot implement certain specified relief, the FTC may terminate the settlement and resume litigation [10]. On May 26, 2026, the court granted the motion: "All proceedings and deadlines in this matter are stayed or suspended for 180 days through November 18, 2026," and the parties must file a status update ten days before the stay expires if they have not filed a proposed final order [13]. On October 28, 2026, the FTC's case page still listed the matter as "Pending" [14], and the public court docket showed no proposed final order; its latest entry was a counsel withdrawal notice of August 7, 2026 [15]. Any final order needs a Commission vote and court approval, so the terms remain unknown until one is filed.

What can fairly be taken from the matter, without overstating it:

  1. The FTC has brought a case framed around a private-equity-backed series of acquisitions in one state.
  2. A sponsor accepted an order that includes prior notice of future deals in defined practice areas.
  3. No court finding on the roll-up allegations is reported on the FTC pages or the court docket cited.
Figure 03
USAP and Welsh Carson: allegations, order and pending litigation
  1. 2023FTC complaint: allegations

    On September 21, 2023, the FTC sued USAP and Welsh Carson in Texas. USAP denied the allegations.

  2. 2025Welsh Carson order: resolved

    On May 20, 2025, the FTC announced a final consent order requiring limits on involvement with USAP and notice of specified future acquisitions and investments.

  3. Apr 2026USAP agreement in principle

    On April 23, 2026, the FTC announced an agreement in principle with USAP. The substance of the agreement was confidential.

  4. May 2026Proceedings stayed

    On May 26, 2026, the court stayed or suspended proceedings and deadlines for 180 days through November 18, 2026.

  5. Oct 2026USAP case: pending

    As of October 28, 2026, the FTC case page listed the matter as pending and the public docket showed no proposed final order.

Is the 2023 Merger Guidelines framework still in force?

On February 18, 2025, FTC Chairman Andrew Ferguson announced that the joint 2023 Merger Guidelines "are in effect" and "will serve as the framework for the FTC's merger-review analysis," while also saying wholesale rework of guidelines should be undertaken "sparingly" [16]. The same day, the DOJ Antitrust Division's acting head told staff that "the Antitrust Division will continue to use the 2023 Merger Guidelines until further notice," adding that they "are not necessarily perfect" and future revisions were possible [17].

On October 28, 2026, the DOJ's merger guidelines page still showed the 2023 guidelines with "Issued: December 18, 2023" and no notice of withdrawal or revision [18]. No FTC or DOJ announcement replacing them was found that day, so the 2023 Guidelines remain the agencies' stated framework. Recheck the DOJ page before relying on Guideline 8 in a memo.

An invented share figure in a deal file is worse than a visible gap.

What origination teams should record about market position

Origination teams produce much of the factual record counsel will later need. Capturing a few fields per thesis and per add-on, with sources and dates, saves time and keeps the record accurate. The market mapping work a team already does is the natural place to hold them. Public counts of firms and establishments by geography, such as County Business Patterns, can anchor the competitor count; see CBP vs QCEW vs SUSB for market sizing for the differences between those datasets.

Suggested fields, each with a source and an evidence status (verified, unverified, open):

FieldWhat to recordTypical evidence
Service and product linesWhat the platform and target each sell, in customers' termsCompany websites, price lists
Geographic areaWhere customers buy from (drive time, service radius, metro) and whyService-area pages, dispatch radius, customer locations
Competitor countFirms of meaningful size in that area, with namesPublic business counts, directories, licensing lists
Share estimatePlatform plus target share, with method statedRevenue estimates; mark as estimate and record the basis
Prior acquisitions in the areaAll sponsor and platform deals in the same or related lines, closed or abandonedDeal log
Customer concentrationWhether a few large buyers dominateDiligence materials
Notice obligationsAny order or agreement requiring prior noticeCounsel
Planning languageWhere strategy is described in memos and decksInternal documents

Illustrative worksheet entry (fictional).

FieldEntryStatus
TargetRiverbend Lawn Care LLCVerified (state registry)
LinesCommercial grounds maintenance; snow removalVerified (company website)
AreaMetro core plus 40-minute drive ringUnverified (management estimate)
Competitors of meaningful size22 named firmsVerified list; completeness open
Combined shareNot estimatedOpen: no defensible revenue basis yet
Prior platform deals in area5 closed, 1 abandonedVerified (deal log)

An invented share figure in a deal file is worse than a visible gap.

Questions to take to antitrust counsel

  • Given the 2026 thresholds, is this acquisition reportable, and how does 16 CFR § 801.13 aggregation apply to our prior holdings and related purchases?
  • Which form and instructions apply on the expected filing date, and has anything changed since the FTC forms page update of March 23, 2026?
  • Does any exemption apply, and how should we document the analysis?
  • Viewed as a series under Guideline 8, how does this program look in each local market we operate in?
  • Do any orders, consent agreements or contract terms require prior notice of deals in this sector?
  • How should deal memos and thesis documents describe market position?

Every agency page and court docket cited here was read on October 28, 2026.

Docket's research agents record answers to a client's own screening questions with a quoted source for each, and leave unanswerable fields visibly open, which suits the market-position fields above.

Sources

  1. 15 U.S.C. § 18a, Premerger notification and waiting period. Legal Information Institute, Cornell Law School. https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/15/18a
  2. Revised Jurisdictional Thresholds for Section 7A of the Clayton Act. Federal Trade Commission, Federal Register. January 16, 2026. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/01/16/2026-00877/revised-jurisdictional-thresholds-for-section-7a-of-the-clayton-act
  3. Current Thresholds. Federal Trade Commission, Premerger Notification Program. https://www.ftc.gov/enforcement/premerger-notification-program/current-thresholds
  4. Filing Fee Information. Federal Trade Commission, Premerger Notification Program. https://www.ftc.gov/enforcement/premerger-notification-program/filing-fee-information
  5. 16 CFR § 801.13, Aggregation of voting securities, assets and non-corporate interests. Electronic Code of Federal Regulations. https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-16/chapter-I/subchapter-H/part-801/section-801.13
  6. HSR Notification Forms, Instructions and Guidance. Federal Trade Commission. Updated March 23, 2026. https://www.ftc.gov/enforcement/premerger-notification-program/hsr-notification-forms-instructions-guidance
  7. Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice Seek Public Comment on Premerger Notification and Report Form. Federal Trade Commission. March 25, 2026. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2026/03/federal-trade-commission-department-justice-seek-public-comment-premerger-notification-report-form
  8. 2023 Merger Guidelines, Guideline 8: When a Merger Is Part of a Series of Multiple Acquisitions, the Agencies May Examine the Whole Series. U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust Division. https://www.justice.gov/atr/merger-guidelines/applying-merger-guidelines/guideline-8
  9. Merger Guidelines. U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust Division. Issued December 18, 2023. https://www.justice.gov/atr/merger-guidelines
  10. FTC Chairman Andrew N. Ferguson Announces FTC-DOJ's Joint 2023 Merger Guidelines Are in Effect. Federal Trade Commission. February 18, 2025. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/02/ftc-chairman-andrew-n-ferguson-announces-ftc-dojs-joint-2023-merger-guidelines-are-effect
  11. Memorandum: Use of the 2023 Merger Guidelines. Omeed Assefi, Acting Assistant Attorney General, U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust Division. February 18, 2025. https://www.justice.gov/atr/media/1389861/dl
  12. FTC Challenges Private Equity Firm's Scheme to Suppress Competition in Anesthesiology Practices Across Texas. Federal Trade Commission. September 21, 2023. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2023/09/ftc-challenges-private-equity-firms-scheme-suppress-competition-anesthesiology-practices-across
  13. FTC Approves Final Order with Welsh Carson. Federal Trade Commission. May 20, 2025. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/05/ftc-approves-final-order-welsh-carson
  14. FTC Charts Path to Restore Competition in Texas Anesthesia Markets in USAP Litigation. Federal Trade Commission. April 23, 2026. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2026/04/ftc-charts-path-restore-competition-texas-anesthesia-markets-usap-litigation
  15. Joint Motion to Stay Litigation, FTC v. U.S. Anesthesia Partners, Inc., No. 4:23-cv-03560 (S.D. Tex.), Dkt. 336. Filed April 23, 2026. https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/USAP-JointMotiontoStayLitigation.pdf
  16. U.S. Anesthesia Partners, Inc., FTC v. (case page). Federal Trade Commission. Last updated April 23, 2026. https://www.ftc.gov/legal-library/browse/cases-proceedings/2010031-us-anesthesia-partners-inc-ftc-v
  17. Order Granting Joint Motion to Stay Litigation, FTC v. U.S. Anesthesia Partners, Inc., No. 4:23-cv-03560 (S.D. Tex.), Dkt. 339. Entered May 26, 2026. https://litigationtracker.law.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Federal-Trade-Commission-v.-U.S.-Anesthesia-Partners-Inc.-et-al_2026.05.26_ORDER-ON-MOTION-FOR-STAY.pdf
  18. Docket, FTC v. U.S. Anesthesia Partners, Inc., No. 4:23-cv-03560 (S.D. Tex.). CourtListener (RECAP). Accessed October 28, 2026. https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/67815899/federal-trade-commission-v-us-anesthesia-partners-inc/
  19. Docket, Chamber of Commerce of the United States v. FTC, No. 26-40094 (5th Cir.), including the FTC's unopposed motion to stay proceedings of May 18, 2026. CourtListener (RECAP). Accessed October 28, 2026. https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72295612/chamber-of-commerce-v-ftc/
External Sources (18)

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Researched and written by Docket Research with AI-assisted research tools; sources are cited inline and checked before publication. Report an error: https://docket.capital/evidence-standards#corrections.